Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.972649 2.081569 2.194813 2.321632 2.460040 2.606899 2.775018
2026-01-18 1.843076 2.006607 2.185113 2.395731 2.639144 2.913724 3.249923
2026-01-25 1.704595 1.899769 2.120844 2.392596 2.721609 3.112400 3.620049
2026-02-01 1.578166 1.790607 2.038229 2.352668 2.748072 3.238547 3.909453
2026-02-08 1.458852 1.677898 1.938890 2.278843 2.719496 3.285917 4.095349
2026-02-15 1.375170 1.600816 1.874996 2.240462 2.727654 3.375331 4.341086
2026-02-22 1.317005 1.550365 1.839172 2.232666 2.771637 3.512377 4.665656
2026-03-01 1.257606 1.494181 1.791465 2.204054 2.782434 3.600737 4.925042
2026-03-08 1.182255 1.413480 1.707073 2.119747 2.707669 3.556730 4.969811
2026-03-15 1.142312 1.376435 1.677604 2.107781 2.733446 3.661442 5.264306
2026-03-22 1.134030 1.379996 1.701671 2.170722 2.871575 3.948637 5.905871
2026-03-29 1.109654 1.360696 1.693266 2.186168 2.938753 4.129363 6.387485
2026-04-05 1.086016 1.343391 1.689435 2.212107 3.030744 4.371845 7.053921
2026-04-12 1.066006 1.330369 1.691215 2.247005 3.141120 4.661802 7.887836
2026-04-19 1.031257 1.295410 1.660013 2.229856 3.165369 4.803292 8.446054
2026-04-26 0.991781 1.252180 1.614761 2.188036 3.144591 4.859357 8.826584
2026-05-03 0.947358 1.200310 1.554668 2.119479 3.072751 4.810622 8.948569
2026-05-10 0.915192 1.164699 1.516917 2.084096 3.055462 4.865303 9.341470
2026-05-17 0.892800 1.142193 1.497481 2.076680 3.086386 5.018785 10.033346
2026-05-24 0.866936 1.113726 1.467861 2.050880 3.081897 5.098896 10.549129
2026-05-31 0.829509 1.067354 1.409611 1.975227 2.981072 4.965934 10.417103
2026-06-07 0.810714 1.047618 1.391064 1.964455 2.999556 5.090712 11.097597
2026-06-14 0.809652 1.053759 1.412125 2.020894 3.148719 5.523420 12.929559